two more shit polls from The New York Times — what the fuck are they doing?
two more shit polls from The New York Times — what the fuck are they doing?
the numbers just don't add up
the Grey Lady is committing journalistic malpractice again.
according to two very sketchy polls they dropped this weekend, Joe Biden might as well hang it up now, because there’s no fucking way he can possibly win in November.
Voters Doubt Biden’s Leadership and Favor Trump, Times/Siena Poll Finds
The share of voters who strongly disapprove of President Biden’s handling of his job has reached 47 percent, higher than in Times/Siena polls at any point in his presidency.
and here’s Sunday’s:
Majority of Biden’s 2020 Voters Now Say He’s Too Old to Be Effective
A New York Times/Siena College poll revealed how much even his supporters worry about his age, intensifying what has become a grave threat to his re-election bid.
New York Times, what in the chrome-plated fuck are you doing?
Democrats who had finally calmed down from the last round of media-created controversy spent the entire weekend running around in panic.
ok, let’s all take a deep breath and think about this for a moment.
look, I’m not a math guy and I don’t know shit about polling methodology. put a gun to my head and I still couldn’t tell you what a crosstab is — but I do know when I’m being force-fed a narrative.
I don’t want to be one of these nitwits who rejects every piece of bad news as “fake” — that’s the other side’s thing — but don’t piss on my head and tell me it’s raining.
we’re now a month into primary season — with actual, tangible results as to how Biden and Trump are doing — and none of the data being pushed by the Times aligns with one fucking iota what we’ve been seeing out in the real world.
here’s political historian Robert Mann’s take:
Regarding this new @nytimes poll on Biden vs Trump: I do not believe Biden is tied with women nationally 46-46. And I do not believe, as this poll reports, that 23% of Black voters nationwide will vote for Trump. Those are two things that are not gonna happen.
Biden got 57% of women in 2020. You’re telling me that, post-Dobbs, his support among that demo group will drop to 46? Not credible.
I agree. If you see a poll and half the women are voting for Trump, something went wrong in the polling sample. If women voted like they did in 2020, which we should assume would at least be the case especially since Dobbs, that’s an 11 point difference from this poll. Assuming the poll is half men, half women, that would put the two candidates about even.
now let’s talk about Dean Phillips. the Times’ polling has him at 12%. what the fuck? this is the same Dean Phillips who has come in dead last in every primary, with numbers that are a rounding error away from zero — and in Nevada’s case, actual zero.
South Carolina - 1.7%
Nevada - 0.0%
Michigan - 2.7%
he’s been finishing behind Marianne Williamson, who at the time of these primaries had suspended her campaign — but all of a sudden he’s magically ten times more popular than he was last week?
even Dean Phillips recognizes the pungent smell of horse shit.
When the NYT/Sienna poll shows me at 12%, you better believe it is flawed. Only 5% even know who I am.
pro tip: when the guy who stands to gain the most from your polling says the data is fucked, it’s time to ask yourself what you’re doing.
if Biden were doing crap in the primaries, we’d have real reason to take these polls seriously. but he’s not — he’s winning every contest by huge margins. he got 96% in South Carolina. he won with 63% in New Hampshire, and he wasn’t even on the ballot. people who wanted to vote for him had to write in his name.
it’s Trump who’s in a metric fuckload of trouble. as the incumbent Republican, he should be putting up Biden-like numbers, and he’s not even coming close. he has yet to get more than 60% of the vote.
the number of No Fucking Way Republicans who will never vote for Day One Dipshit is considerable — and increasing.
At least 20 percent of GOP voters in the first three primary states — Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina — do not plan to vote for former president Donald Trump should he appear on the ballot in November as the Republican presidential nominee, according to a recent Associated Press VoteCast poll.
20% of Iowa Republicans won’t vote for Trump. that should be setting off all kinds of alarm bells in GOP-world. Iowa is one of the most conservative and evangelical states in the country.
if we mange to get even one Trump guilty verdict this summer, even more Republicans will peel off.
I don’t know who the Times has answering their poll questions, but the numbers just don’t add up.
let’s return one more time to Jay Kuo, to talk us all down off the ledge.
One other thing: It’s not enough these days just to “ignore the polls” or just tell friends to do the same. Given that the polls are methodologically suspect at best and even weaponized against us at worst, we need to make data-driven cases for why they are unreliable and to keep these things squarely in mind as we get closer to Election Day.
When a poll like this comes out, ask some basic questions. Is the poll an outlier when it comes to key demographics, like women, young people and minorities? Does it use flawed methodology and exclude whole swaths of voters, like Spanish-speaking households? Does it square with actual election results where Democrats have shown overwhelming support for Joe Biden and no interest in his challengers?
finally, let me leave you with this:
On May 18, 1988, the @nytimes reported Michael Dukakis was leading George H.W. Bush by 10 points, 49 to 39 percent. FWIW.
remind me, how did that polling work out for Dukakis?
polling is just too fucking unreliable to lose sleep over.
BREAKING: to the surprise of absolutely nobody, the Supreme Court has rejected the idea that Trump is a 14th-Amendment-violating insurrectionist fuckface and ruled that Colorado must put him back on their ballot.
WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court on Monday overturned a Colorado court ruling that said former President Donald Trump was ineligible to run for office again because of his actions leading up to the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol — bringing a swift end to a case with huge implications for the 2024 election.
The court in an unsigned ruling with no dissents reversed the Colorado Supreme Court, which determined that Trump could not serve again as president under section 3 of the Constitution’s 14th Amendment.
The court said the Colorado Supreme Court had wrongly assumed that states can determine whether a presidential candidate is ineligible under a provision of the Constitution’s 14th Amendment.
the Supreme Court also ruled that Trump is 6-foot 11-inches tall and weighs 135 pounds.
need some good news? skeevy accountant Allen Weisselberg has agreed to plead guilty for lying his unpleasant face off during the Big Trump Family Business Fraud Fuckery Trial.
Allen H. Weisselberg, a longtime lieutenant to former President Donald J. Trump, has reached an agreement with Manhattan prosecutors to plead guilty to perjury charges on Monday, according to people with knowledge of the matter.
it looks like Weisselbeg, one of the few people willing to go to jail for Donald Trump, will be headed back to Rikers.
good. let him rot.
900+ people in a country of over 200 million eligible voters? a drop of cat piss. Besides, in the analysis of the poll on a separate page, it was revealed that only 23% of the respondents even had a BA. So a bunch of ignorant yutzes who either still have landlines, or answer unknown numbers on their cells, are who was asked.
To whom it may concern, polls are not breaking news!! So stop sending me a push notifications for them!