I still think Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly is The Guy. Delivers Arizona (maybe Nevada) and the Governor of Arizona is a Democrat and would name a Democrat to fill the seat .
I live in Vegas. We don't care what AZ does. Totally different culture there. We may be geographically close, but politically - no. They have a Red State mentality and you find that in northern NV which is rural and Red. Vegas is more closely aligned with Southern Cali.
Talked to this with my 36 year old son last night. He really liked the idea of Kelly. It's good to get a perspective from someone younger - I'm a Boomer. He didn't dislike Biden at all, but he felt that he was dragging down the ticket and that younger people didn't go for voting for 2 elderly grandpas. I try and think back when I was in my 20's and 30's and my feelings about people that were 80. They seemed really, really old to me. I think that Harris has the same "cool" that Obama had. She would be fun to go out to dinner with. 80 can't be cool - you just end up looking like Trump dancing to the Village People. It is stomach churning. You can feel the energy has shifted into a more youthful vibe. I commend Biden for passing the torch. Pelosi was smart to do it in 2022. Stopped all that talk about her being too old. I see no cognitive decline in her at all, but she is 84 and that turns off some younger voters. So now the MAGAs have their grandpa with fake teeth, fake hair, fake skin color, no brain, a white guy that REALLY can't dance and verbal diarrhea, and chipmunk cheeks as his VP. Good luck with that. Vance is so not cool and he's only 39. Cool isn't just an age, it's a mind set.
But the replacement sen. would have to run in a 2026 special election and run again in 2028 (end of Kelly's term) -- and AZ still leans red, per the 538 website. So the likelihood of a GOP taking that seat in two or four years is too high.
Although Kelly would be perfect as the VP choice, it's just too risky. Can't afford to lose even one Dem seat in either chamber.
My hesitation right now on Shapiro is the Israel/Gaza situation. We need the youth vote and many of them are anti-Israel and pro Palestine. We need someone not controversial. The Right will stir up enough lies about them without adding to it.
But the point isn't to turn a red state blue (even solely for the prez line on the ballot), which can't happen. The point of bringing to the ticket a Dem governor for a red state is to pull in on-the-fence voters throughout the country, because a big-enough chunk of such voters can turn a purple state blue in at least this race.
Most of Beshear's positions are palatable to Dems BUT he doesn't support an assault-weapons ban (which is a draw for many center or center-right voters), and he's a deacon in his church (ditto). Plus, he's only 47 -- which would make the Dem ticket far younger and more energetic than sluggish, meandering djt's.
Plus, centrist or center-right voters will see Shapiro as an East Coast liberal elite, And, he's Jewish -- a big fat NO for the the US's many "casually" racist / antisemitic voters.
Shapiro is a big no for the younger voters who are appalled by Biden’s Zionist stance. I’ve heard that Shapiro is also known as a Zionist; we would lose those younger voters in the blink of an eye.
Beshear delivers Kentucky and may siphon some votes in Ohio. Works for me.
If I thought for one instant that would turn Kentucky blue, I’d be all for it, but it won't.
On the other hand, Pennsylvania looks to be a margin-of-error race, and Josh Shapiro, with his 62% approval rating, should put it in the win column.
I still think Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly is The Guy. Delivers Arizona (maybe Nevada) and the Governor of Arizona is a Democrat and would name a Democrat to fill the seat .
I live in Vegas. We don't care what AZ does. Totally different culture there. We may be geographically close, but politically - no. They have a Red State mentality and you find that in northern NV which is rural and Red. Vegas is more closely aligned with Southern Cali.
Talked to this with my 36 year old son last night. He really liked the idea of Kelly. It's good to get a perspective from someone younger - I'm a Boomer. He didn't dislike Biden at all, but he felt that he was dragging down the ticket and that younger people didn't go for voting for 2 elderly grandpas. I try and think back when I was in my 20's and 30's and my feelings about people that were 80. They seemed really, really old to me. I think that Harris has the same "cool" that Obama had. She would be fun to go out to dinner with. 80 can't be cool - you just end up looking like Trump dancing to the Village People. It is stomach churning. You can feel the energy has shifted into a more youthful vibe. I commend Biden for passing the torch. Pelosi was smart to do it in 2022. Stopped all that talk about her being too old. I see no cognitive decline in her at all, but she is 84 and that turns off some younger voters. So now the MAGAs have their grandpa with fake teeth, fake hair, fake skin color, no brain, a white guy that REALLY can't dance and verbal diarrhea, and chipmunk cheeks as his VP. Good luck with that. Vance is so not cool and he's only 39. Cool isn't just an age, it's a mind set.
But the replacement sen. would have to run in a 2026 special election and run again in 2028 (end of Kelly's term) -- and AZ still leans red, per the 538 website. So the likelihood of a GOP taking that seat in two or four years is too high.
Although Kelly would be perfect as the VP choice, it's just too risky. Can't afford to lose even one Dem seat in either chamber.
My hesitation right now on Shapiro is the Israel/Gaza situation. We need the youth vote and many of them are anti-Israel and pro Palestine. We need someone not controversial. The Right will stir up enough lies about them without adding to it.
We need to get this right. Four weeks to the Convention.
Shapiro is needs to stay in place
All our senators need to stay in place we need the senate especially for judges.
But the point isn't to turn a red state blue (even solely for the prez line on the ballot), which can't happen. The point of bringing to the ticket a Dem governor for a red state is to pull in on-the-fence voters throughout the country, because a big-enough chunk of such voters can turn a purple state blue in at least this race.
Most of Beshear's positions are palatable to Dems BUT he doesn't support an assault-weapons ban (which is a draw for many center or center-right voters), and he's a deacon in his church (ditto). Plus, he's only 47 -- which would make the Dem ticket far younger and more energetic than sluggish, meandering djt's.
Plus, centrist or center-right voters will see Shapiro as an East Coast liberal elite, And, he's Jewish -- a big fat NO for the the US's many "casually" racist / antisemitic voters.
Shapiro is a big no for the younger voters who are appalled by Biden’s Zionist stance. I’ve heard that Shapiro is also known as a Zionist; we would lose those younger voters in the blink of an eye.