Kamala is running a near-perfect campaign and it’s driving the press insane

the media’s in a sour mood because Kamala’s fucking with their Narrative

today, let put the good news right up top.

Thomas Miller is a data scientist out of Northwestern University. in 2020, he correctly predicted which states Biden would win, with the exception of Georgia.

Miller’s back, and wow — feast your eyes on this.

Miller is predicting that Harris’ electoral map may resemble the 1964 map in which President Lyndon B. Johnson defeated Sen. Barry Goldwater (R-Arizona) with a whopping 486 electoral votes, or President Bill Clinton’s 1996 victory over Sen. Bob Dole (R-Kansas), in which he secured 379 electoral votes.

“We’re talking about a blowout where Harris gets over 400 electoral votes and wins Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and every other swing state,” he said.

shoot that shit directly into my veins.

Miller’s deal is that he ignores the polls and and focuses instead on the betting markets.

Miller based his model around betting trends on PredictIt, which is the largest betting market for U.S. politics. Tully explained that Miller “took the Predictit odds in the 56 individual voting jurisdictions, tracked the hourly changes, and used his proprietary model to roll the data into daily odds.” Miller said he viewed PredictIt as more accurate than traditional polling, which uses a much smaller sample and is typically a week behind current trends.

relying on betting sites sounds counterintuitive, except for the part where Miller correctly predicted 49 state results out of 50 in 2020 — so maybe we should be listening to what he has to say.

long time election-watcher Stuart Rothenberg also sees the potential for a blowout in November. let’s let Josh Marshall explain it.

Rothenberg says we shouldn’t be surprised if the 2024 presidential actually turns out not to be that close, despite the fact that a photo finish is the one thing everyone on every side of the race seems to agree on. He points to new high quality polls out of Pennsylvania and Iowa which suggest the race may not be quite as close as we all universally assume. And Rothenberg is not the type you’d generally expect to predict or hint at something like this.

in fact, if polls are your thing, here’s one to light up your day. Kamala is fucking killing it in the approval rating department right now.

You can see that the surge in approval of Harris occurred right after she took over as the Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee. Before that point, Harris was viewed negatively on net — about as poorly as Biden. Trump was also viewed negatively, but thanks in part to more support from Republicans, he was less unpopular than the two Democrats.

Once Harris was the nominee, the picture shifted. Quickly. A week later, her net favorability rating was higher than Trump’s. It hasn’t been lower since.

need some more good news? check out the latest numbers from Morning Consult.

Post-debate polling published Tuesday by Morning Consult shows Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 6 percentage points — a new record high for the Democratic presidential nominee.

Harris widened her lead over Trump in the survey conducted after they clashed at their debate last week. Trump, on the other hand, lost support. 

The data shows Harris getting the support of 51% of all voters, while 45% of all voters said they back Trump. The vice president is now up from a 3-point advantage pre-debate.

gee, it turns out that ranting incoherently about THEY’RE EATING THE DAWGS turns off the average voter. whooda thunk it?

that’s not enough for you? then check out Quinnipiac.

“Three crucial swing states wave a red flag at the Trump campaign. The GOP’s most ‘go to’ attack strategies against Democrats on immigration and the economy may be losing momentum. Likely voters now see little daylight, in most cases, between Harris and Trump on who can best handle those key issues.”

all this good news for Kamala and Democrats has the worthless scribblers of the corporate-controlled media in a sour mood, because it’s fucking with The Narrative.

it has to be a horse race. it has to be neck and neck. and so they’re going out of their way to sanewash Sundowning Grandpa Befuddlepants, and taking every opportunity to nitpick the shit out of Kamala.

if a male politician refuses to be distracted by a reporter’s questions, he’s lauded for his message control. but if Kamala does it, then —

Kamala Harris largely stuck to her script during an interview Tuesday with a panel of National Association of Black Journalists members, carefully parrying questions about hot-button issues like the war in Gaza, reparations and other critical election topics.

when Donny Convict sat down with National Association of Black Journalists, it was a fucking disaster. it’s where he made his famous “Kamala only recently became black” remark. the interview was such a crazypants train wreck that his own people pulled the plug and hustled him off stage after only half an hour.

Kamala’s sit-down with the NABJ was a different story — she was sane. she didn’t say crazy shit, leaving Politico to whine that she refused to veer off script.

the media pulled this shit on the email lady, too, with their constant inane complaints about how she was too prepared.

hey, let’s take a look at a clip from Kamala at the NABJ and see if we can figure out what’s got the press so knicker-twisted.

journalist: “before we conclude, Madam Vice President, ‘joyful warrior’ has been used to describe your campaign, and your opponent and Republicans have at times weaponized your laughing in campaign ads, for example. why is joy important to you to insert into this election, and what do you make of Republicans using that as way to suggest that you’re not a serious candidate?”
Kamala: “I'll say to whoever the young people are who are watching this: there are some times when your adversaries will try to turn your strength into a weakness. don’t you let them. don’t you let them. I find joy in the American people. I find joy in optimism — in what I see to be our future, and our ability to invest in it. I find joy in the ambition of the people. I find joy in the dreams of the people. I find joy in building community. I find joy in building coalitions. I find joy in believing that the true measure of the strength of a leader is not who you beat down, but who you lift up. and we should all find joy, and have a sense of optimism about who we are as Americans and what we mean to each other, and what we can do to lift each other up.”

sorry, media — Kamala is running a near-perfect campaign. if you’re waiting for her to slip up, it ain’t gonna happen.

Bret Stephens can piss up a rope.

Stephens is a professional concern-troll and his salary depends on taking pot-shots at Kamala. I’m pretty sure she should do the exact opposite of whatever Bret claims will quote-unquote “win him over,” because who the fuck cares what Bret Stephens has to say.

let’s not let the whiners and the naysayers ruin our good mood.

tonight, Kamala’s doing a livestream with Oprah Winfrey.

you can sign up for it here.

Kamala’s got Oprah on her side — and Taylor Swift. remind me who Donny’s got. Ted Nugent? No-Longer-A-Kid Rock? Hulk Hogan?

let’s not forget about Tim Walz — he’s nailing it, too.

check out Tim’s genuinely human reaction to seeing a supporter wearing earrings with his face on them, during his visit to the H&H Soul Food Restaurant in Macon, Georgia.

“ok, that’s the greatest thing I’ve seen today. you see these earrings? this is a first for me. and this is as cool as you’d think it would be.”

can you imagine Couchfuck McGee in the same situation? his idea of banter would be “so how long have you had ears? great” — and then he’d say something racist, because of course he would. racism’s his brand.

it’s 47 days to the election. I’m feeling pretty good about our chances. you should be, too.